Archive for the 'politicians' Category

14
Feb

The Next Bubble - Government Bonds

Which One Goes Next?

Which One Goes Next?

There seem to be a couple of likely candidates for the next bubble to pop, among them commercial real estate, with its heavy dependence on (collapsing) retail sales, and government bonds, which are are intimately tied to (ballooning)  government infrastructure spending.

The people I have talked to about commercial real estate (owners / investors) seem split on whether / when the commercial realty bubble will pop, or whether it will be a slow outgas followed by gradual recovery.

In contrast, no one  that I have heard or conversed with is optimistic about government bonds. Talking to a municipal bond trader the other day, I remarked ” the infrastructure spending in the proposed stimulus has got to be good news for your business, right?” He replied to the effect that no, most people in the bond business are very concerned that there is in actuality a growing bubble in government debt, which the stimulus bill has every chance of making much worse.

So, how do you short government bonds again?

(Image from philadelphia reflections, a monetarist’s blog, unfortunately)

02
Feb

We Will Miss George W Bush. Seriously.

Please, We Should Thank You.

Please, We Should Thank You.

OK, it’s time to come clean. We at LibertyGuys, and many, many libertarians, minarchists, anarchists, war opponents, and other free-thinkers, while relieved that he can finally do no more direct harm to the entire globe on a whim, secretly miss George W. Bush already. Because, you see, deep down in our heart of hearts, we were really, really grateful for his presidency.

What I mean is this. We opposed all the wars, the spying on Americans, the torture, the crony capitalism, the transparent use of the entire Imperial military apparatus for the benefit of connected flunkies, then, finally, the direct transfer of all of our financial futures to his friends on Wall Street, with more than 80% of the people opposed. All of it.

We opposed all the spending, the creation of vast new entitlements, the bailouts for all of the evil f**ks on Wall Street, K Street, and Detroit.  In short, we opposed nearly everything the man stands for or did. But deep down, after every bad thing he did, a little part of us said a small “amen”.

Sure, it was nice to have something to agree with our liberal friends on, the wars, the imperialism, the torture, Katrina, etc. Any and all of those things was reason enough to hate him. But it wasn’t the reason we love him.

The thing, the thing we very much love about George W. Bush is the way he made the case against statism. Every thing the man did included all of the classic statist ingredients; war, demonization of the other (Muslims), socialism, protectionism, polarization and politicization of every sphere, cronyism, and corporatism, covered with a sauce of greed and venality, and served up with a double helping of rank incompetence.

The War on Iraq, the destruction of civilization in Afghanistan, the Katrina disaster, the revelations of massive illegal wiretapping , any one of these would have destroyed a lesser demon, say a Richard Nixon, or a Lyndon Johnson. But not our man George. He plagued us, completely intact, to the very end. Even the collapse of our entire system of corporatism and imperial finance did not unhorse this cowboy. His was a singular reign.

Perversely, this is why we are afraid of the manifestly competent politician who replaced him, the Obamessiah. Our worst fear, all us freedom-loving types who have awakened to the government’s war on civilization, that the man may actually place people of intelligence, merit, and skill in those powerful positions available to his patronage is being realized.

We are alarmed that he has filled his staffs with brilliant, competent idealogues. We might, quite understandably be terrified, absolutely terrified, that Obama, the unitary leader of the biggest, richest, most powerful state ever to exist, might make the trains run on time. Except, we know he can’t.

Oh he will do everything his fans and supporters expect of him. He will mouth all the right platitudes, he will speak “directly” to the people, his armies of PR flacks and press dupesters will dutifully report on his triumphs, while sweeping his failures under a rug. It has been, and will be a brilliant performance.

And none of it will make any difference. The financial crisis is gearing up to become a fiscal and monetary tsunami, one that will sweep away all before it. They, those bright, motivated bureaucrats won’t know what hit them.

But they will enjoy, at least for a while the completely undeserved trust and goodwill of many of the people, even as we all march into the depths of it.

(photo from ratemyeverything.com)

07
Jan

The Economic Collapse, Mythbusters Version

We love Discovery Channel’s “Mythbusters“. These guys are given salaries, staff, resources, and a weekly TV show to do the kind of stuff we used to get in trouble for doing when we were kids. It’s BOSS.

A while back they did a unique stunt in a bid to create an internet viral video like these goofballs did with candy and 2-liter bottles of soda. They bubbled methane gas into a bucket of soapy water to create a towering column of foam, which they then ignited, causing a spectacular fireball.

This, to our minds, is a GREAT illustration of the Financial Meltdown. The bucket is the American economy. The soapy water is the (actual) money supply. In 2001, Alan Greenspan (Jamie Hyneman, in the walrus moustache and beret) began pumping money(here, methane) into an economy that, already in recession was also reeling from the collapse of the dotcom bubble, the tech bubble, and the related NASDAQ bubble. Oh and this collapse too.

Obligingly, the economy foamed up, up, up. For reasons best known to bankers and policymakers, most of the money-methane went first into the housing market, then later began to spill out into the finacial services markets, then finally began to leak into consumer goods other than housing, notably gasoline (here the model strays from reality, it leaks not).

Greenspan kept this up right until the end of his last term, in January 2006, when Ben Bernanke was appointed to replace him.  Bernanke (here Adam Savage) apparently took one look at what was happening, took out his lighter (monetary policy) and ignited the column of suds (stopped inflating), which, after a delay (2 years) caused a spectacular, flaming collapse, with accompanying disappearance and extinguishment of nearly all of the money.

Now, of course, it is time to play the video again, this time with with Bernanke pumping in money and probably lighting it too, in short order, just like Friedrich Von Hayek explained to the dunces on Meet The Press many years ago.

(OK it gets a little fuzzy here, just watch the video;)

Mythbusters Methane Foam

06
Jan

The Destruction Of Gaza - Obama’s First War, or Bush Valedictory?

Obama: "No Comment."

Obama: "No Comment."

Look through these photos (WARNING: The above photo is the LEAST bloody) and try to square them with all of the pro-Israel spin on this horrible piece of business in the major US media. You can’t. It’s cold-blooded mass murder, and the network bobble-heads are calling it “self-defense”. It is exactly analogous to responding to a prison riot with F-16s and cluster munitions.

We harbor no illusions - the Israelis are equipped, trained, and funded by the US, and they do nothing without the dictator’s say-so. So what do our current and future Duce have to say about this atrocity?

President Bush: “I understand Israel’s desire to protect itself,” Bush said in the Oval Office. “The situation now taking place in Gaza was caused by Hamas…Instead of caring about the people of Gaza, Hamas decided to use Gaza to launch rockets to kill innocent Israelis,” Bush said. “Israel’s obviously decided to protect herself and her people.”

Uh-huh. Funny, we don’t hear about the innocent Arabs (yes, Virginia, there are women and children in Gaza, despite what The Ministry Of Truth says)

Future President Obama: “There was no immediate comment on the Israeli air strikes on Gaza from Obama, who is vacationing with his family in Hawaii, or his staff.”

Clearly, Bush has decided to let the Israelis have their head, to attack Gaza when they have really wished to attack Iran.

And Obama’s tepid response indicates not only that he has no problem with this, but that perhaps he is allowing Bush to test the waters for steering America in a new foreign policy direction.

No, not a peaceful one, silly, but a policy where the US simply funds, equips, and trains the soldiers of other countries to do our dirty work. Hmm, I wonder where that’s been tried before?

29
Dec

UAW-ism, or Why Federally-Backed Unions Are Destroying Detroit, and Us All

NOTE: No Oiler In This Diagram
NOTE: I Don’t See An  Oiler In This Diagram

Lew Rockwell had a great post this morning (with video goodness!) about “Little Three” union officials slacking off and engaging in personal “business” (shopping, beer-buying) while on the clock. I wrote and related this story to Lew;

Hi Lew,

It is amazing to see a news organization, particularly one in a “union town” covering this story, since such abuses are longstanding and widespread. But there is nothing unique about what the two union reps in the story are accused of.

In 1993 - 1994, I was the safety and health manager of a large construction project ($280M) at a major oil refinery. Being a union plant, of course all of the contractors on the project were forced to hire union “labor” to do all tasks, including some that in a free market would not be done.

Before any work could commence, the contractors on the project had to sign a “project labor agreement”, or PLA, which set forth staffing requirements, work rules, and union jurisdiction. The number of unions involved in the endeavor was mind-boggling. We had carpenters, cement finishers, dockbuilders, electricians, laborers, millwrights, pipefitters, plumbers, teamsters, operating engineers, and one or two others I am sure I am forgetting.

Because the refinery was under a state-imposed environmental compliance deadline for completion, the project ran 2 12-hour shifts per day, 7 days per week to try to meet the deadline. Such mandates and deadlines always present tremendous opportunities for graft. I’ll spare you the details, except at one point the civil contractor was paying a “pipefitter” to make sandwiches for sale to the project personnel, which at 300 - plus workers undoubtedly handsomely enhanced his own personal profit.

Some of the unions even had subgroups, such as one class of operating engineers that ran pumps and generators up to a certain size, others that operated smaller loaders and excavators, another class of operators that ran larger excavators, and finally the “top” class of operating engineers, the crane operators.

The operating engineers’ contract at the time required that all equipment over a certain (arbitrary, low) horsepower be staffed by an operating engineer and an oiler, whether the maintenance regime for the equipment required continuous hand-oiling or not. I will leave it to you to ponder whether modern machinery made in the last 50 years would have such an intense need for maintenance.

Because this requirement undoubtedly caused many objections, an alternate “compliance” method was for the contractor to pay the operating engineer an extra hour for “grease time” (how apt), ostensibly to compensate the operating engineer for coming in an hour early to maintain and prepare his equipment for the start of the shift.

Except, remember, the project operated on 2 12-hour shifts, 7 days per week, which meant that during “grease time” the equipment was still being used by the operator on the previous shift. So we in essence have two operating engineers being paid to work 13 hours per day each, for a total of 26 hours of labor pay per qualifying machine per day.

It gets better. In the construction trades, the union representative is paid a little more than the highest-paid worker on the project. Because of the size of the crew, the project labor agreement mandated that the operating engineers have two project-paid union representatives, a “shop steward”, and a “master mechanic”, who were each paid “grease time’ also.

I’m not entirely sure what the duties of a “shop steward” are, but since the project already had 3 or 4 actual full-time mechanics, the “master mechanic” had few if any remaining visible duties. If you were lucky, you could get hold of him over the project radio system 3 to 4 hours per day at best. Allegedly one would have had better luck looking for him on the golf course most days, weather permitting. Yet because his position was mandated by the PLA, he was being paid 26 hours per day, 7 days per week.

After about 6-8 months of this, it became so embarrassing that the union itself actually put a stop to it, assigning a second-shift “master mechanic”, an extremely able, competent, and hard-working operating engineer who performed all of his union “duties” and operated equipment as well. But this was only one small instance of union abuse on the project.

Somewhere in this sorry tale I should mention that the construction ‘managers’ for the project were Kellogg, Brown, and Root (nee Brown and Root Braun), a particularly ill-named group of losers and no-accounts who actually impeded safety and progress on the project during their tenure.

Please use my alias if you print this.

UPDATE: This was funny.

24
Dec

The Right Way To Think About Corporate Media

SNL Isn't So Funny Now, Is It?

"Friends" Isn't So Funny Now, Is It?

Some friends and I were just discussing this - we all agreed that the proper way to think about NBC, MSNBC,  CNBC, or anything else connected to General Electric is that it should generally be treated as if it were being beamed to earth from the Death Star;
“The Death Star was the code name of an unspeakably powerful and horrific weapon developed by the Empire. The immense space station carried a weapon capable of destroying entire planets. The Death Star was to be an instrument of terror, meant to cow treasonous worlds with the threat of annihilation. While the massive station is evidence of the evil that was the Galactic Empire, it was also proof of the New Order’s greatest weakness — the belief that technology and terror were superior to the will of oppressed beings fighting for freedom.”

Also see this hilarious “Schoolhouse Rock” -style parody about corporate media;

Conspiracy Theory Rock

10
Dec

If Massive Government Spending Is So Important, Why Didn’t They Do It Sooner?

Katrina VanDenHuevel displays a popular ignorance of economics in this piece, in which she enthusiastically endorses Future President Obama’s proposal to create hundreds of billions of dollars out of nothing (in addition to the trillions in bailouts which US taxpayers have already been obligated to fund) for “infrastructure” spending (refer to our previous piece for the relevant definition).

Am I being petty when I ask why, if government spending on infrastructure is SO important, we haven’t done this before now? Even Ron Paul pointed out in the debates our crumbling roads and bridges as a higher use of the trillions being blown on wars abroad, for instance.

So why wasn’t this already done, particularly in the wake of such catastrophic infrastructure failures as the levies in New Orleans, and the I-34 bridge in Minneapolis? Do the billions of dollars lately wasted on the Big Dig, or being lavished on a tiny handful of residents of Manhattan’s East Side, 1, 2 qualify, and count toward some ideal level of infrastructure spending?  WTF is going on here?

I suspect that a big reason Bush and his co-conspirators “ignored” the need for an “adequate” level of infrastructure spending in this country in favor of invading the world relates to an old, old engineering joke;

Q: What’s the difference between mechanical engineers and civil engineers?

A: Mechanical engineers build weapons, civil engineers build targets.

09
Dec

When The Emperor Moves

On Lew Rockwell’s blog today (YAY!);

re: More Pentagon Homicides

Posted by Lew Rockwell at 12:04 PM

Writes Vince Daliessio:

Saturday was the Army-Navy game here in Philadelphia.. I was taking my son to karate practice at about 9:45 am, when he yells “DAD, LOOK AT THE BIG PLANE!” When I looked, I saw Air Force One approaching from the Southwest and banking steeply above us at no more than 4,000 feet. The plane then swung crazily around, and back West toward the airport. All I could think of was how cavalierly the plane was being operated, and the likely carnage on the ground that would have ensued if the pilot had made a mistake. The old saying “a fish rots from the head” comes to mind. I had little thought for the passengers on board, who were no doubt the instigation for such behavior.

A couple of days prior, we were overflown by squads of military helicopters, and of course during the game we could hear F-18s overhead.

UPDATE: This was the reaction of the father come home to find his family all killed by the government;

“I believe my wife and two babies and mother-in-law are in heaven with God,” Yoon said at a news conference afterward. “Nobody expected such a horrible thing to happen, especially right here, our house.”

Yoon said he bore no ill will toward the Marine Corps pilot who ejected safely before the jet plunged into the neighborhood two miles west of the runway at Marine Corps Air Station Miramar. “I pray for him not to suffer for this action,” Yoon said. “I know he’s one of our treasures for our country.”

Maybe Mr. Yoon is a better man than I - I really don’t know. But my reaction would be much different.

02
Dec

Consensual Sex Is None Of The Government’s G-ddamn Business

Yet they continue to insist on making it so;

Cop ‘john’ testifies at hearing for ‘mom/daughter’ hookers

The two women touted themselves on the Internet as a sexy mother-daughter team, and at their Northeast Philadelphia home they offered themselves up for sex - at a price, authorities said.

The ad on the craigslist Web site featured the mother, Traci Young, 38, and the daughter, Tami Smith, 22, sitting on a plush sectional couch in tank tops. It read in big, bold letters: “Make the right choice and call us.”

An undercover cop, posing as a john, did just that.

In Municipal Court yesterday, that police officer, Donald Paxton, testified that he had made an appointment to go to the women’s home on Ditman Street near Benner, in Wissinoming, in the early afternoon of Oct. 2.

In the basement, the two women negotiated to have sex with him, including oral sex, for $200, Paxton, according to Assistant District Attorney Richard Fuschino, who spoke after a preliminary hearing in the case.

Paxton testified that Smith told him that he would ” ’start with mom and finish with me [the daughter],’ ” the prosecutor recounted.

At the end of the hearing, Judge Joseph J. O’Neill held Young for trial on all charges, including prostitution, criminal use of a communication facility and conspiracy.

First, this is called ENTRAPMENT, an immoral but increasingly popular tactic among the jackbooted thug community.

Second, WHOSE BUSINESS IS IT WITH WHOM AND UNDER WHAT CONDITIONS THEY HAVE SEX ?????

These “laws” are unconstitutional, immoral, and arbitrary.

It is perfectly legal for a woman to offer her favors for a $200 meal at Buddakan, but not for $200 cash. Gross.

The cynic in me tells me that one reason for this is that the elites don’t like middle-class people getting their freak on the way they themselves do.

And since middle-class people can’t afford mistresses, or to join high-end clubs for that sort of thing, they have to hire them in per diem, which the elites then have outlawed.

Am I off base here?

02
Dec

A VAT Tax? Are We To Be Spared Nothing?

As if the $8 Trillion being stolen from us as I write this wasn’t enough, this jackass is touting a Eurostyle VAT as the solution to reducing the malignant, metastasizing Federal deficit, set to get even worse under the new Obama regime;

It’s called a value-added tax, or VAT, and it’s been used for decades to pay the bills and sustain the immense growth of governments around the world, from France to Mexico to Australia. Created in 1954 by a French economist, the VAT is the most potent, efficient machine for revenue generation yet invented.

And if there’s one thing the U.S. government needs as the federal budget balloons, it’s a ton of new revenue. “The bottom line is that the income tax cannot support the level of spending that’s projected, something other countries faced years ago,” said Roberton Williams of the Tax Policy Center, a non-partisan research institute.

Number one, this idea, if ever enacted, will rapidly collapse the US economy.

Number two, it won’t matter anyway, because inflation will render the dollar meaningless. Since the feds won’t recognize commodity money, most of the remaining economy will revert to barter and black markets.

Number three, they won’t repeal the income tax, but will simply impose the VAT atop it. Just the thing to do in the face of a Depression. Thanks, President Hoobama!

If this is ever seriously considered and or passed, the US government will have to destroy the last remnants of the Republic in a futile effort to collect it.

Ron Paul, please call your office!